Correlations and Regressions

 Can use correlation/regression with either manipulated predictor variables or natural variation.

Correlational statistics can be applied to any type of design (including experimental) but a correlational design occurs when we do not randomly assign participants to the level of either variable - i.e., levels of variables are not manipulated.

Quasi-analytic experiments: Steps in conducting correlational designs

1) select population and subjects of interest;

2) measure variables of interest;

3) calculate the extent to which the variables are systematically related

Pearson's product moment correlation coefficient (for Interval or ratio data) measures the direction and degree of association. r is the mean of z-score cross-products: r=S (ZxZy)/N, the extent to which deviations from the average on each measure are similar for each subject sampled.

r2 (coefficient of determination) = estimate of the proportion of variance shared by the two variables; extent to which they co-vary. (Can be used as a measure of effect size.)

1-r2: coefficient of nondetermination (also called coefficient of alienation or error variance)

Statistical inference: for a given sample size: larger the absolute value of r, the less likely it is to have occurred by chance, similarly, for a given value of r, the larger the sample, the less likely it was to have occurred by chance. The power of a correlational design is increased by minimizing error variance, avoiding restricting the range of scores, and increasing the sample.

Pearson's r (based on means) is very sensitive to the presence of outliers, heteroscedasticity (rXY relationship may vary across levels of X), and can be biased by having a restricted range. Combining group data can also influence the size of the correlation (in either direction). So: examine scatterplots to detect these potential problems!!

Visual inspection of data

Graph data (scatterplot): predictor (assumed causal or IV) variable on abscissa (X-axis) and criterion or DV on ordinate (Y-axis)